LastDayWatchers remember when the May 15th Prophecy pointed out to you "Because the soldiers had guns and the putative humanitarians trying to run the Gaza blockade had only clubs and kitchen knives, the protesters wound up dying. But there's no question it's the government of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that lost this little battle"
All because of this
President George W. Bush’s war decision “one of the biggest strategic errors in modern American history.”
Before the war, America was flush with cash. It had Iraq’s Saddam Hussein at bay, a brutal but broken dictator who could be—and was—rather easily contained in his own space. And yet, even in his reduced state, Saddam posed an important counterweight to the ambitions of neighboring Iran, thus helping maintain a valuable balance of power in the region.
Al Qaeda didn’t have a presence in Iraq, as the secular thug Saddam had no intention of allowing any such threat to undermine his rule. True, he maintained Sunni dominance over the majority Shia, but this had been the political reality in Iraq for centuries—under the Ottomans, the British, the British-installed kings and the succeeding dictators.
And while this wasn’t pluralism, it did breed stability.
Now America is broke, in part because of the estimated $2.2 trillion invested in Iraq. Iran, unchecked by Iraqi power, is on the prowl in the region as never before. Al Qaeda is pursuing openings there that didn’t exist during the Saddam days. Sectarian strife is rampant and on the rise. The entire region has been destabilized, in part because of the Iraqi invasion, and Islamic fundamentalism is more thoroughly entrenched in the region than ever. China, as Webb and others predicted, has exploited America’s Middle East preoccupation to flex its muscles in Asia. And all this represents the strategic cost, leaving aside the 190,000 people killed by the war, including 4,488 U.S. service members, 3,400 U.S. contractors, and 134,000 Iraqi civilians.
Leading to this
Obama will face a choice as fateful as it is unpalatable. He could, in effect, admit that the United States no longer has the wherewithal to dictate strategic outcomes in the Middle East. This is reality, but a reality that any American president would be loath to affirm so openly. Or, to avoid acknowledging this reality, he could launch another war to disarm yet another Middle Eastern state of weapons of mass destruction it does not have -- not to remove a chimerical "existential threat" to Israel, but to protect Israel's military dominance over its own neighborhood. This would prove disastrous for America's strategic position, in the Middle East and globally.
100% accuracy written at Lastdaywatchers