Monday, January 17, 2011

Binocular Snapshot for 1/17/2011

LastDayWatchers take note of the facts mention by Hezbollah Nasrallah

" Before signing off, he warned Hariri that the deposed dictator in Tunisia, Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, was an ally to the West, but those friends quickly turned on him and no Western airport opened its doors after his people ousted him from power"

Most people here agree that an internal war will not engulf Lebanon. Many say they don't want to fight, and only one party is strong enough to win, the armed Shiite movement of Hezbollah, founded nearly 30 years ago when Israel invaded Lebanon. In 2008, Hezbollah showed its military might when it took to the streets and briefly took control of parts of the city.


"They could have kept the city, they could have taken it all, but they didn't. They just wanted to show that all of this is a play"

said Ahmed Waheed, 45, as he hawked meat pies on the side of the road in the northern city of Tripoli. 


"We want the truth but these politicians have taken us into a dark tunnel, and we don't know where we are anymore."


Take note also of the fact pointed out to you in the May 15th Prophecy about how Iran will become more powerful then the so-called "biting" sanctions or the so-called "green movement"

When you are strong, having vision and ability that allows you to make the tough cuts (the government measures of Iran subsidies cut),

When you are weak you have to bailout & extend subsidies like unemployment benefits (the government measures of the U.S) just as the May 15th Prophecy have proclaimed with 100% accuracy

"President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may have consolidated power after the internal fractures that followed his bitterly disputed re-election in 2009 — a development that some analysts believe could influence Iran’s position at nuclear talks in Istanbul this month"

“The initial success of the subsidy reform will increase the regime’s confidence generally,” said Cliff Kupchan, a former State Department official who is now a director at the Washington-based Eurasia Group. “This could make them more assertive in the talks. But more importantly, a confident and unified regime is better positioned to reach consensus on some initial agreement.”


The logic is compelling: artificially low prices encourage greater consumption, leaving less oil to export for cash. And the higher oil prices rise, the greater the “opportunity costs” in lost exports. But the timing, whether for political or economic reasons, was never right to cut the subsidies.


While the government may be feeling economic pressure now, analysts say, the current program of cuts is principally a sign of its political strength, having vanquished the opposition that sprang up after the 2009 elections and stared down the government’s traditional conservative wing, which has challenged Mr. Ahmadinejad’s authority.


“This was something the two previous administrations wanted to do but could not accomplish” 


said Kevan Harris, a graduate student at Johns Hopkins University who has written extensively on Iran’s economy and social welfare system. “Now that the liberals have been sidelined, like any good politician, Ahmadinejad has taken the most popular ideas from the opposing side and implemented them himself.”


The subsidy cuts, which the International Monetary Fund says have amounted to $4,000 a year for the average Iranian family, began in earnest last month when the rationed price of gasoline jumped to about $1.44 a gallon from just 38 cents. With a ration of only 16 gallons a month at the subsidized rate, most motorists buy the bulk of their fuel now at the even higher market rate of $2.64 per gallon, significantly more than the $1.80 that people pay in nearby Dubai.


In recent weeks, subsidies have also been reduced on flour, water and diesel. But the spike in prices has not provoked the angry protests that followed the introduction of fuel rationing in 2007. The price of bread has tripled, on average, the government says; water, which used to be practically free, now costs between 10 cents and 85 cents per cubic meter, based on a sliding scale under which consumers pay a higher rate the more they use.


The government says these are just the first steps in what it calls an 


“economic transformation plan” 


that will also include banking reform, sweeping changes in Iran’s tax and customs system, and ever more privatization of state-owned industries. And with officials already reporting drops in the consumption of gasoline, flour, diesel and electricity, even before the prices were raised, Mr. Ahmadinejad has been exultant.


“I believe that the Imam of Our Time has managed this plan and supports it,” he said in a speech last week, citing the “hidden” 12th imam revered by Shiite Muslims as the embodiment of justice and righteousness"

Provided by the May 15th Prophecy written at LastDayWatchers with 100% accuracy !