Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Binocular Snapshot for 1/11/2011

LastDayWatchers the Coagulation of the Horns will continue to congeal & solidify

The Middle East's Turko-Persian future

"According to one of the most reliable polls measuring public opinion in the Arab world (undertaken in six Arab countries in 2010 by the University of Maryland and Zogby International), three regional leaders compete for the top spot in terms of popularity -- 

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and Hassan Nasrallah. Only one of the three -- Nasrallah -- is an Arab, and he is the only one who is not a head of state or government.

In Arab perceptions, Erdogan, who leads the pack by a substantial margin, represents the Turkish model of Muslim democracy; Ahmadinejad represents the Muslim world's defiance of the West, especially of the United States; and Nasrallah represents Arab and Muslim resistance against Israeli designs. All three share to different degrees dislike of, or antagonism toward, Israel, which is explainable by the continuing Israeli occupation of Palestine and aspirations for military hegemony in the Middle East heartland that is guaranteed by the supply of state-of-the-art American weapons and Israel's status as the sole nuclear weapons power in the region.

What this means is that both Turkey and Iran have the sort of "soft power" in the Middle East that no other country -- certainly no Arab country or regime -- can wield. Turkey's soft power is largely a function of the legitimacy of its political system and of its leadership at home.

This is a model that people in other Middle Eastern countries would like to emulate. Iran's soft power, on the other hand, is based on the acceptance by large segments of the population in the Middle East of its foreign policy objectives -- 

namely, resistance against global hegemony and assertion of its autonomy in international affairs as an independent player that is willing to bear the cost of defying the concert of powers dominating the international security and economic structures.

Furthermore, the perception that these are the only two countries/regimes in the Middle East that are able to stand up to Israel and challenge what is widely seen in the region as predatory behavior adds to Turkey's and Iran's popularity among the Arab and Muslim publics. Indeed, the Middle East seems to be inexorably heading toward a Turko-Persian future"

Which is just more evidence to the the 100% accuracy of the May 15th Prophecy written at LastDayWatchers


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